UK Labour Market — The Real Numbers

Current ONS vacancy data, KPMG/REC recruiter sentiment, an archived Adzuna graduate-jobs snapshot, and the current status of a checked redundancy source ledger.

📉 ONS Vacancies — The Collapse

Office for National Statistics official vacancy count. The current VACS02 total is preferred; AP2Y is used only when that total is unavailable.

Latest Vacancies (ONS VACS02) 702,000 Jun-Aug 2026
Peak (Mar–May 2022) ~1,300,000 Post-pandemic high
Fall from Peak −598,000 To Jun-Aug 2026
Context Lowest Outside pandemic since Nov 2014–Jan 2015

📊 What This Means

The ONS vacancy count peaked at around 1.3 million in the March–May 2022 period, driven by post-pandemic hiring demand. Since then, vacancies have fallen by 598,000 to Jun-Aug 2026 — a sustained contraction from the 2022 peak. At 702,000, the Jun-Aug 2026 estimate is the lowest outside the pandemic since the November 2014–January 2015 period. Fewer vacancies means less bargaining power for workers, fewer entry points for new graduates, and a fundamentally different labour market from the one politicians keep describing.

Vacancies by Industry — Latest ONS VACS02

Period: Jun-Aug 2026

IndustryVacancies (thousands)
All vacancies 702.0k
Total services 615.0k
Human health & social work activities 121.0k
Wholesale & retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles 91.0k
Accommodation & food service activities 70.0k
Professional scientific & technical activities 69.0k
Administrative & support service activities 50.0k
Retail 49.0k
Manufacturing 48.0k
Education 44.0k
Information & communication 36.0k
Transport & storage 35.0k
Public admin & defence; compulsory social security 31.0k
Financial & insurance activities 30.0k
Construction 29.0k
Wholesale 25.0k
Motor Trades 17.0k
Arts, entertainment & recreation 14.0k
Other service activities 13.0k
Real estate activities 12.0k

Source: ONS VACS02

📋 KPMG/REC Report on Jobs — Recruiter Sentiment

Monthly PMI-style survey of UK recruitment agencies. Below 50 = contraction. Published by REC with KPMG. Source →

Latest validated release in this dataset: September 2026.

Vacancy Decline Run 34 Consecutive months of falling demand for staff

The public press release does not provide numeric PMI index values, so no N/A index cards are shown.

💬 Latest Report — September 2026

"Temp billings meanwhile rose at a stronger pace that was the second-quickest in over three years, driven by a preference for short-term staff and greater amounts of contract work."

🎓 Adzuna — Graduate & Entry-Level Vacancies

Archived Adzuna graduate and entry-level vacancy data. The current public report endpoint no longer yields an update, so this section is not presented as live. Former source endpoint no longer resolves

Historical snapshot: 2026-03. This row was seeded manually from a prior project briefing; the exact original report citation is not stored, so provenance remains under review. Automated refresh is currently unavailable.

Graduate Vacancies 10,667 2026-03
Graduate Jobs YoY Change -34.9% Year-on-year

📊 What the Stored March 2026 Snapshot Contains

The manually seeded row records a 34.9% year-on-year decline and 10,667 graduate-level openings. Because the exact source report is not reproducible from the database, treat it as provenance-under-review historical context, not as a verified current vacancy count.

🤖 UK AI Redundancy Source Ledger

Checked company announcements and reporting that explicitly connect AI with a workforce change. Classification: AI_direct = AI explicitly named as cause; AI_adjacent = AI cited alongside broader cost-cutting; cost_cutting_with_AI_cover = cost-cutting using AI as framing.

No entries are currently published. The former seed set was withdrawn because its placeholder citations did not resolve reliably and its AI-causation labels were not reproducible. This section will return only with a checked source ledger.

🔗 Connecting the Dots

The structural picture, assembled from real data:

1. ONS shows the labour market has weakened from its 2022 vacancy peak. 702,000 vacancies (Jun-Aug 2026, VACS02) — the lowest outside the pandemic since late 2014. A fall of 598,000 from the 2022 peak. The decline has persisted since the 2022 peak.

2. KPMG/REC provides monthly recruiter sentiment. The latest validated public release in this dataset is September 2026.

3. The database contains a manual Adzuna historical snapshot. It is dated March 2026, but its exact original report citation is not stored and provenance remains under review. It is not used here as evidence of a current live vacancy count.

4. The AI redundancy ledger is temporarily withheld. Legacy rows with non-reproducible citations have been quarantined rather than presented as evidence.

The combination is a labour market that politicians describe in the language of 2021 while workers navigate the reality of 2026.

Data Sources

ONS: VACS02, AP2Y time series | REC: Report on Jobs | Adzuna: former Job Market Report endpoint (no longer resolves) | Company redundancy ledger: withheld pending reproducible citations

Source checks run daily. ONS publishes monthly and REC publishes monthly; the Adzuna figures shown here are a manual March 2026 snapshot with provenance under review, pending a reproducible replacement source.

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